Late June brought a fast decline in international crude benchmarks as market participants reassessed Middle East supply risk and the prospects for renewed diplomacy. Public reporting subsequently confirmed that the United States and Iran agreed to halt attacks and renew talks on June 28. Daily causal descriptions in the supplied trading log should nevertheless be read as market commentary rather than proof that one event alone caused each price move.
| Date | NYMEX | ICE Brent | China INE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22 | Jul $74.82, -$1.78 (-2.32%) | Aug $77.90, -$2.67 (-3.31%) | 2608 ¥510.5, -¥3.2; night ¥501.7, -¥8.8 |
| Jun 24 | Aug $70.34, -$2.87 (-3.92%) | Aug $73.74, -$3.34 (-4.33%) | 2608 ¥489.1, -¥10.5; night ¥470.6, -¥18.5 |
| Jun 30 | Aug $69.50, -$1.25 (-1.77%) | Aug $72.92, -$0.23 (-0.31%) | 2608 ¥462.1, +¥0.3; night ¥456.7, -¥5.4 |
What base oil buyers should watch
Lower crude futures can ease parts of the feedstock cost environment, but they do not translate directly into identical changes for SN150, SN500 or other base oils. Refinery operating rates, regional inventories, freight, FX, grade availability and contract terms can outweigh a short futures move. Buyers should compare current indications on the China Base Oil Price page and request a dated offer.
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